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New England Patriots Against the Spread: ATS & Over/Under Trends (2026)

Last updated: October 27, 2026 · 5 min read · Source: Spreadspoke Analyst data package (through 2026-10-26)

Updated weekly during the NFL season.

THE SHORT ANSWER

The New England Patriots are 4–3 straight up in 2026, with a 4–2 (67%) ATS record and a 4–3 over/under record (57% Over). They average 22.9 points and allow 20.4.

This page tracks the New England Patriots' 2026 betting profile — straight-up results, against-the-spread record, over/under record, ELO rating, and a full game log. It refreshes weekly as games are played.

Season summary

MetricValue
Straight-up record4–3
Against the spread4–2 (67%)
Over/Under4–3 (57% Over)
ELO rating1598 (No. 7 of 32)
Points per game22.9
Points allowed20.4

New England Patriots 2026 ATS & over/under trends (splits)

SplitATS (cover %)Over/Under (over %)
Overall4–2 (67%)4–3 (57%)
As home2–0 (100%)2–1 (67%)
As away2–2 (50%)2–2 (50%)
As favorite2–0 (100%)2–1 (67%)
As underdog2–2 (50%)2–2 (50%)
Last 5 games2–2 (50%)4–1 (80%)

New England Patriots 2026 game log

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2026-09-09@ Seattle SeahawksL 10-13CoverUnder
2026-09-20vs Pittsburgh SteelersW 20-3CoverUnder
2026-09-27@ Jacksonville JaguarsL 6-35No CoverUnder
2026-10-04@ Buffalo BillsW 29-26CoverOver
2026-10-11vs Las Vegas RaidersW 45-17CoverOver
2026-10-18vs New York JetsW 26-19PushOver
2026-10-22@ Chicago BearsL 24-30No CoverOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New England Patriots' ATS record in 2026?

The New England Patriots are 4–2 against the spread in 2026, a 67% cover rate.

Do the New England Patriots cover the spread better at home or on the road in 2026?

The New England Patriots cover the spread 100% of the time at home and 50% on the road in 2026.

What is the New England Patriots' over/under record in 2026?

The New England Patriots are 4–3 on the over/under in 2026, with their games going Over 57% of the time.

What is the New England Patriots' record in 2026?

The New England Patriots are 4–3 straight up in 2026, averaging 22.9 points scored and 20.4 allowed.

Methodology

All figures are computed from the Spreadspoke Analyst data package for the 2026 season (regular season and playoffs). Against-the-spread uses home_spread_outcome/away_spread_outcome; over/under uses ou_outcome; power ratings use pre/post-game ELO (elo_home_pre, elo_home_post, etc.). Cover and Over percentages exclude pushes. This page refreshes weekly while games are played.

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